Please read rounds 1 and 2 if you havent already, rounds 3 and 4 showed where things started to slim out a little bit. Again, this is just my opinion......
ROUND THREE: “Sometimes I think the so-called Experts actually ARE the experts” - -Jack Handey
1. Kevin Youkilis: 3b – Hackensack Bulls
After taking two players with a combined age of 44, Hackensack decided to add some leadership to the squad by taking Boston 3b extraordinaire Kevin Youkilis. With the level of 3b left on the board this was a very fine pick even with the threat of him missing time. The question will be if he can stay healthy throughout the entire season as the Bulls only backup went down for the year.
Fearless Forecast: 281avg 75r 19hr 78rbi 2sb 67bb
2. Yovani Gallardo: SP – Olivet Killer Eagles
I had targeted Wieters initially with this pick then as the draft proceeded and the catchers went in the 2nd round I set my sights on Paul Konerko. However when my pick came up and I knew I wouldn’t have a selection until round 5 I decided to take advantage of the starting pitchers who fell. I went with Gallardo’s upside over Cain’s consistency and am glad I went with the SP because one ace on a squad can make up for a couple of mediocre pitchers. If he can turn his 2nd half of 2011 into a full season, where he struck out 103 in only 90 innings against only 15 walks; I’ll have my ace for the next few seasons.
Fearless Forecast: 16w 209k 3.38era 1.22whip
3. Matt Cain: SP – Michigan Miracles
Chris was in the same mindset that I was here, and said that “with no second round pick I didn’t think I’d get one of the top 3-4 pitchers. I was wrong” In Cain he gets one of the most consistent performers in MLB and he does so without much fanfare because he cannot seem to get run support. I had him and Gallardo pretty much even in my ranks however Cain is MUCH less of a risk because he’s put up nearly the exact same numbers over the past few seasons, and will likely do so again in 2012.
Fearless Forecast: 13w 177k 2.92era 1.06whip
4. David Ortiz: DH – Gaylord Dingers
Without a position Big Papi falls in an eMLB draft once again and here Mike snags him up. He added batting average to his repertoire last year but I would expect that to drop significantly in 2012, but the production doesn’t seem to be tapering off as many people thought a couple of seasons ago. He was one of the last of the power bats in the draft and Gaylord has Pujols at 1b so the Utility spot is as good as any. Outstanding pick in the 3rd round, no one else taken here other than possibly Konerko would hit 30 hrs, drive in 100 runs, score 80 and walk 80 times. The lack of position was only a minor negative.
Fearless Forecast: 277avg 82r 28hr 104rbi 1sb 80bb
5. C.J. Wilson: SP – Julian Javelina
It was inevitable that the starting pitcher run would start soon, it turns out that Johnson, Gallardo, and Cain were just the start. Jamie said nearly exactly what Chris and I did, “Wasn’t going to take a SP this early, but Wilson was difficult to pass up”. He was the logical next selection as far as SP went because after him there were question marks. He moves out to Los Angeles and should benefit from getting out of The Ballpark in Arlington. I was skeptical of Wilson last year, thinking another full season in the rotation would wear him down. I was dead wrong as he improved across the board. While I don’t know if he’ll repeat last years numbers I can see him coming damn near.
Fearless Forecast: 18w 184K 3.21ERA 1.21whip
6. Freddie Freeman: 1b – Springfield Flying Squirrels of Republic
The youth movement in Springfield has officially begun. Brett Lawrie was taken in round two to man the hot corner now the young Brave will be the 1b of the future. Had Adam been better equipped to contend for a title this season I think he would have went with surer bets here, like Konerko or possibly Ryan Howard. As it stands the Squirrels will hope that Freeman can build upon an excellent rookie season where he hit 21 hrs, drove in 76, while hitting 282. He doesn’t have the pedigree that Eric Hosmer does but he’s not a major step down as of yet. If he can solve lefties he’ll progress nicely this year.
Fearless Forecast: 275ba 73r 24hr 83rbi 3sb 58bb
7. Paul Goldschmidt: 1b – Rochester Red Sox
He burst onto the scene last year for Arizona, hitting 8 hrs scoring 28 runs while driving in 26 in only 156 MLB at bats. This was after hitting 30 hrs in 2/3 of a season in AA. He’ll be the Yin to Mark Reynolds Yin this year for Rochester. They may combine for 60 homers and a .230 batting average. There will be serious concerns if he doesn’t cut down on the strike outs, his K/AB was eerily similar to his teammate across the diamond, however the power is legitimate and if he can stay in the lineup he’ll top 30 hrs fairly easily I think.
Fearless Forecast: 244avg 72r 31hr 88rbi 8sb
8. Ryan Howard: 1b – Hackensack
I gave Howard a brief thought at 3.2, but then I remembered I already have Kendrys Morales on my bench and didn’t need to risk another. The Bulls weren’t shy about taking him though and will probably reap the rewards of his power even at less than a full season. He has declined over the past few seasons so there are a few causes for concern, his .488 slugging sticks out as well as his contact rate. His 40 homer days may already be behind him but at 3.8 he had to be taken and the Bulls will need his power. GM Cashenstein only had one remark “I didn’t even know I was in the market for another 1b….”
Fearless Forecast: 257avg 67r 26hr 80rbi 0sb 56bb (466ab)
9. Miguel Montero: C – Oviedo Knights
Montero came back from an injury shortened 2010 to put up wonderful numbers behind the plate last year for Arizona. If he can stay healthy again this season I don’t see much regression happening. GM Reynolds stated, “This will be like McCann but a little cheaper”. Other than HRs he has a valid point, except for pure consistency season to season. Being taken 18 picks after McCann I would say it’s a lot cheaper as well. Damn it Mike, you make it hard not to mention the word “Value”
Fearless Forecast: 279avg 66r 18hr 76rbi 1 sb 45bb
10. Paul Konerko: 1b – Oviedo Knights
Speaking of value, why the hell was this guy still sitting here mid way through the third round? Don’t get me wrong I can buy into some upsides with Goldschmidt or Freeman but just because Konerko is pulling his 30s rather than pushing them doesn’t mean he should have been taken this late. He has shown no signs of slowing up, even at the ripe old age of 36. We should all be ashamed he fell this far to be honest, and those are my words not Mike’s. His probably contain the word “idiots” and “thanks” somewhere within.
Fearless Forecast: 288avg 73r 29hr 104rbi 0sb 72bb
11. Peter Bourjos: OF – Gaylord Dingers
This was a curious selection to me. Bourjos showed some pop late in the season but I wouldn’t expect him to sustain that over the course of a season however the speed is legit if he gets the opportunity to use it. It seems this is the type of model Gaylord uses to build his outfield each year, and for the most part it normally works out alright. I just think there are too many Ifs here. For what he’s likely to produce I believe there were similar guys who would have been much cheaper, and even though his defense is stellar you have to believe if he doesn’t hit well he could be replaced in the lineup by Trout.
Fearless Forecast: 277avg 75r 10hr 41rbi 24sb 33bbs
12. Danny Espinosa: 2b – San Antonio Fire Ants
So what player will show up in 2012? The guy, who hit 16 hrs, scored 45 runs, drove in 52 runs and stole 12 sbs before the all star break, or the one, who hit 5, scored 27, drove in 14 and stole 5 after? He has an all or nothing approach that will lead to many slumps, where his batting average is going to be poor regardless. He may approach 20/20 though which isn’t anything to sneeze at, and I’ve said before he’s a poor man’s Kelly Johnson. I’m just not sure if that’s a compliment or insult to Espinosa, or to Johnson, or a testament of how 20/20 has become relevant in fantasy sports again.
Fearless Forecast: 238avg 74r 16hr 67rbi 19sb 54bb
13. Michael Pineda: SP – Dallas Redbirds
Dallas seems to have a mold for their team that works for them. They replaced Howard with Teixeira, then Andrus with Reyes. Now in the 3rd round they have replaced Matt Garza with Michael Pineda. (Unless you count him taking Garza next round of course, I just don’t feel like re-writing anything) All three have been upgrades for the Redbirds. Pineda has lights out stuff and I am actually surprised he survived this long in the draft. The move to New York is likely to drive up his ERA and WHIP but assuming he’s on no leash this year and can top 200 innings he’ll also top 200 strike outs. Plus, if Ivan Nova can win 16 games there’s no reason to think Pineda won’t top that mark although it’s an unpredictable stat; just ask Matt Cain.
Fearless Forecast: 17w 194k 3.58era 1.12whip
14. Drew Storen: CL – Atlantic Surge
I am a big fan of Storen especially getting a chance to own him for most of the season last year. I had Papelbon as the top closer option in the draft but Storen should hold his own head to head. He was somewhat lucky last year but I don’t foresee a major drop off in anything and the Nationals have some solid SP to get the ball to Clippard in the 8th before him. Another 40 save season seems probable.
Fearless Forecast: 42sv 82k 2.98era 1.10whip
15. Matt Moore: SP – South Texas Heat
As with Pineda, I thought someone would reach for Moore even earlier than this. It reminds me somewhat of when David Price came up late for Tampa then had the stellar run in the playoffs as a semi-closer. Moore’s stuff is unquestioned and is probably destined to be one of the aces in the American League very soon. GM Berg stated; “His minor league numbers are unheard of, lets see how they translate into the big leagues”. Digging a little deeper, in about 500 minor league innings he’s managed 12.9 strikeouts per 9 so he was definitely over powering there and in a brief stint he took his show on the road to “The Show”. This will be an intriguing player to watch, I love watching stellar pitching make hitters look stupid.
Fearless Forecast: 15w 185k 2.95era 1.22whip
16. Dustin Ackley: 2b – Arizona Desert Swarm
One of a few up and coming young 2b in the draft, Ackley probably came with the most hype. He has never shown much power in the minors and his speed lacks so I’m not sure what the hype is all about. His counting stats will be limited due to his ballpark and his teammates, and I really believe 2b was much deeper than some other positions in the draft. There would have been comparable guys available several rounds later for what Ackley’s likely to put up.
Fearless Forecast: 274avg 68r 8hr 63rbi 7sb 63bb
ROUND FOUR: “The race isn’t always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong—but that’s the way to bet.” – Damon Runyon
1. Yu Darvish: SP – Hackensack Bulls
One of the most hyped pitchers ever coming out of Japan, the Bulls snag him up here in hopes his sub 2.00 ERA in Japan can translate over to the States. With the contract Texas signed him to there must be faith that he can. Other than faith though what can you really expect, Dice-K was supposed to be amazing as well. Also is it just me, or does he look like the hot dog eating contest dude’s twin?
Fearless Forecast: 15w 180k 3.50era 1.05whip
2. Carlos Quentin: OF – Charlotte Orios
If he could ever stay healthy for an entire season he would easily surpass the 30 hr / 100 RBI plateau even with a mediocre batting average. However he hasn’t in 4 years and now will be playing in San Diego where home runs go to die. I think given his track record this pick could have waited at least a round but the Orios front office is hoping for a healthy season. And fantasy baseball without hope is just stats and information to process mentally as indicators and trends.
Fearless Forecast: 255avg 62r 25hr 72rbi 1sb 44bb
3. Brandon Beachy: SP – Michigan Miracles
I assumed after the Cain selection in round 3 that Michigan would go back and take another hitter off the board. That wasn’t the case here and they take the Braves young SP. He was about as dominant as any and led all starters in K/9 last year but health could be an issue. He didn’t seem to last long in his starts which will hold him back somewhat until he grows as a starter in the bigs. I am a huge fan of high strikeout pitchers though and not many have his upside there. He could step up and become ace 1.b to Cain’s 1.a
Fearless Forecast: 12w 185k 3.82era 1.26whip (172ip)
4. Ichiro Suzuki: OF – Julian Javelina
Like just about every other Mariner, Ichiro is coming off a pretty poor season. Even at 38 years old it seems to have come out of nowhere so you have to believe it was semi-flukish. Just to show you how bad Seattle has been over the last 3 seasons, Ichiro has failed to score 90 runs even with getting on base over 250 times in two of those years and 220 last. I doubt guys like Ackley, Montero and Carp change that trend either. I’m on the fence with this pick, especially for a team who was apparently rebuilding. The only thing I see changing from a year ago is a higher batting average, he should still be around 80 runs and 40 steals.
Fearless Forecast: 295avg 80r 7hr 41rbi 41sb 37bb
5. Wilson Ramos: C – Julian Javelina
A self-admitted reach here, the Javelina seem to be pretty high on the Nats catcher. I can see a few reasons why he would be, assuming he can reach the 450 at bats needed to be valid starting C in eMLB these days. Jamie’s 70, 15, 75, projection may be pretty optimistic but it isn’t unrealistic by any means. Half joking, being abducted in the off-season may give him a new lease on life and could motivate him to become a better ballplayer.
Fearless Forecast: 266avg 58r 16hr 62rbi 0 sb 39bb
6. Adam Wainwright: SP – Springfield Squirrels of Republic
Before being lost for the 2011 season Wainwright was a top 5 starting pitcher in fantasy. He’ll likely take awhile to get back to ace status but in time he should. Historically pitchers haven’t always been the same the first season back from Tommy John surgery but with this team playing for the future he should be raring to go in 2013 for Republic. Adam will likely hold onto him tightly, unlike Atlanta who traded him to St Louis for J.D. Drew
Fearless Forecast: 13w 182k 2.94era 1.17whip (190ip)
7. Jesus Montero: DH – Rochester Red Sox
Another highly hyped player, the move to Seattle hurts his value a little bit but probably gets him C eligibility much quicker. From all reports I’ve read, the kid can rake. He’ll get everyday playing time in Seattle and even though he’s surrounded by Quad A players I can see him putting up fairly decent numbers, especially if Ackley can hit above 280 in front of him.
Fearless Forecast: 292avg 57r 17hr 72rbi 2sb 45bb
8. Josh Beckett: SP – Charlotte Orios
Broskey must have planned on doing a better job grabbing SP behind Beckett because this was actually a decent pick here. Beckett isn’t a model of consistency or anything but he’s too good of a pitcher to continue his good season / poor season trend forever. He would have been a nice anchor to the Orios staff but was traded away for Joel Hanrahan (5.10) and Jonathan Sanchez (11.9). I believe he was convinced by someone that one good pitcher among many bad ones would do less good than having a stud closer.
Fearless Forecast: 15w 192k 4.00era 1.25whip
9. Torii Hunter: OF – Mid Michigan Tigers
Hunter’s average has declined over the last few years and his success rate as a base stealer has become very poor but other than that he is still a productive and consistent performer. He doesn’t have the power upside of a Quentin or the speed upside of Bourjos but he should be a better option overall than both of them. Much like Konerko he was severely discounted due to his age.
Fearless Forecast: 266avg 81r 21hr 82rbi 7sb 65bb
10. Brandon Belt: OF/1b – Mid Michigan Tigers
This was a reach in my opinion after a nice pick with Hunter. I’m not sure what the basis of the pick was here but the multiposition and upside was a major part I’m sure. He has hit extremely well in the minors and will only need a chance to play everyday in order to prove what he can do. I think with consistent PT he’ll be a fine fantasy OF this year but much too early for my taste.
Fearless Forecast: 288avg 66r 16hr 71rbi 3sb 58bb
11. Mark Trumbo: 1b – Atlantic Surge
He’s like the Angels present version of Troy Glaus, he just may not have a spot in the lineup, at least not a regular one. There were rumors that he would be tested at 3b so he could stick there possibly. He’s a big time power hitter but will need to improve his walk rate to progress much better than his 2011 numbers, though if he finds his way into 540 at bats again he’ll come close.
Fearless Forecast: 250avg 45r 20hr 58rbi 5sb 22bb (350ab)
12. Jonathan Papelbon: CL – Michigan Miracles
Maybe it’s my opinion on closers but I really don’t see the point of having 3 of them. That being said, I had Papelbon as the best in the draft so at the end of the 4th round he got decent value out of him. He’s a high K closer which is nice because he’ll help in more than just one category. Moving to Philadelphia shouldn’t affect his numbers one way or the other though and should finish as one of the top 3.
Fearless Forecast: 44sv 88k 2.65era 1.15whip
13. Matt Garza: SP – Dallas Redbirds
“As the run on weak hitting took place, I decided to bulk up on solid SP to build around” Steve said afterward. I don’t think he planned on taking SP consecutively but he did get two solid arms to build around with hopes of returning to the championship playoffs either this year or next. Garza has been slightly volatile at times but has settled into an above average arm with good K numbers and has proven to be durable. He put together an excellent 2nd half in 2011 so at age 28 he could finally be becoming the ace many thought he would be when he came up with the Twins.
Fearless Forecast: 16w 188k 3.75era 1.24whip
14. Max Scherzer: SP – Rochester Red Sox
For a team highly regarded across the league as one of the favorites to win it all, they had some really questionable draft picks early on. Scherzer has been up and down since coming to Detroit in 2010 but seems to be settling into a #3 starter. He has shown dominance here and there but he gets himself into trouble too often with his command, especially with his slider, which led to a lot of 3 run homers last year. He can rack up strike outs at times too but it seems to drive his pitch count up, but that is something that Verlander went through for a couple years as well. Scherzer doesn’t have nearly the “stuff” JV does but I think if he can keep the ball down he’ll be an ok option. There’s a lot that needs to go right here to expect it all will.
Fearless Forecast: 14w 178k 3.92era 1.33whip
15. Jason Kipnis: 2b – South Texas Heat
Not sure why Ackley has gotten more hype than this kid but I’m sure the Heat aren’t complaining having him around late in the 4th. He may not hit for the same average as Ackley but he has much more power upside and should get into double digits in steals as well. Cleveland has a decent lineup around him also, even towards the bottom where Kipnis will be most every day. If pitchers don’t figure him out and he proves he can hit lefties he should put together a pretty nice season for 2b standards.
Fearless Forecast: 258avg 67r 19hr 70rbi 12sb 36bb
16. Dee Gordon: SS – Arizona Desert Swarm
This one was listed as “predrafted” so I am not sure if this was a decision made by the GM of the Swarm or by the MDC. Given the fact that JJ Hardy was taken a short while later leads me to believe this was a mistake one way or the other. However, if Gordon can hit well enough to stick in the lineup and get on base consistently he may steal well over 50 bases. He’ll have to keep up an insanely high contact rate without a better walk rate than he showed last year in his MLB time (7 walks in 224 at bats) in order to do so. If not then he could end up just another Joey Gathright.
Fearless Forecast: 284avg 78r 0hr 22rbi 44sb 26bb
Tuesday, March 6, 2012
Sunday, March 4, 2012
2012 Draft Recap w Commentary (Rds 1 and 2)
2012 eMLB Draft Recap w/ Commentary
**Note: I would like to do about 10 rounds worth of this, and keep in mind this is 100% my opinion and the projections made have come purely from my noggin. I hope its at least an enjoyable read because I am having fun doing this.**
ROUND ONE: (In the world of Fantasy Baseball, hitting is King)
1. Jose Bautista: 3b/OF – Olivet Killer Eagles
Even before the lottery determined the top 3 picks I knew I would have my choice of Bautista or Cano, figuring the top two picks would be Tulowitski and Gonzalez regardless of order. As it turns out I got the #1 pick and was set to take Cano until I was able to receive another 1st round pick. At that point I figured I would take best player available, contract length notwithstanding. Jose Bautista was tops on my board.
Fearless Forecast: 280avg 102r 37hr 110rbi 7sb 105bb
2. Mike Stanton: OF – Hackensack Bulls
I still consider Justin Upton to be the better overall player over the next five years but the Bulls make some valid points regarding Stanton. Over the next 5 seasons he has a good chance of being one of the top HR hitters in the league alongside guys like Fielder, Pujols, and possibly Bautista. Power is king these days and it was too much for the Bulls to pass on.
Fearless Forecast: 275avg 91r 36hr 102rbi 1sb 81bb
3. Troy Tulowitzki: SS – South Texas Heat
The Heat traded Prince Fielder to move into a spot to take Tulowitzki and place a 5 year on him. Tulowitzki’s ceiling is enormous but has to get over the little injuries that he seems to fight through every year. Honestly if he didn’t have that one little question mark he would have been taken first overall. As it stands the Heat get probably the best talent in the draft at a position that is historically slim with talent (I would argue otherwise this year)
Fearless Forecast: 311avg 96r 29hr 100rbi 13sb 76bb
4. Justin Upton: OF – Atlantic Surge
The Surge had plenty to choose from at this spot but went with the guy many had him taking in the pre-draft mocks. The temptation of taking Gonzalez may have been there but he went with the man with the most upside and will never look back. At age 24 he hasn’t even begun to hit his peak years. That is scary considering the numbers he has put up already. Another season or two and he’ll be the top OF with Kemp in fantasy in my opinion. For now I’ll say he takes another step forward in 2012.
Fearless Forecast: 296avg 112r 34hr 107rbi 23sb 65bb
5. Adrian Gonzalez: 1b – Julian Javelina
Jamie was probably doing cartwheels as the top few picks unfolded in front of him and has said that he was “shocked” that Adrian Gonzalez was still sitting there at #5. As far as safe bets go, he and Cano were the two safest players in the draft. At age 29 Gonzalez should see 3-4 years of top flight production for Julian and is no worse than the 2nd or 3rd best 1b in the league with the possibility of being tops if he can turn some of those doubles into homers this season.
Fearless Forecast: 309avg 104r 33hr 124rbi 1sb 79bb
6. Robinson Cano: 2b – Springfield Flying Squirrels of Republic
In a mock done just a few days before the draft started Adam claimed he would not pass on Robinson Cano if available even having Uggla on the roster. “Dan Uggla will make a fine Utility man” was the statement. The Squirrels didn’t go back on their word and selected Cano at 6. The team will be rewarded with one of the most productive players year to year for the length of time he’s a Squirrel. The knock on him was his lack of SB and BB but other than that I don’t see anyone else other than Gonzalez in this draft being as safe of a pick.
Fearless Forecast: 301avg 112r 28hr 110rbi 6sb 38bb
7. Andrew McCutchen: OF – Oviedo Knights
The Knights wanted Robinson Cano here and figured Springfield would take McCutchen over him having Uggla locked into 2nd base. Life didn’t happen that way so they drafted the man most mocks had him taking here. Like Reynolds said; “A rare 6 tool OF”, McCutchen is very close if he can rebound to his previous batting average levels. He’s the type of player the Knights have been successful with over the years and will be the face of the organization moving forward. I know his favorite word is “value” but there is tons of value in a player that will not hinder any category.
Fearless Forecast: 283avg 98r 26hr 90rbi 27sb 82bb
8. Mark Teixeira: 1b – Dallas Redbirds
The Redbirds admittedly moved up into round one to take Tex here, and they got their man. Many worry about his drop in batting average over the last few years but it’s not what you’re paying for with this guy. Having lost Ryan Howard to free agency this was a logical choice for Dallas.
Fearless Forecast: 261avg 99r 37hr 111rbi 0sb 82bb
9. Hanley Ramirez: SS(3b) – Olivet Killer Eagles
He has had his issues with being lazy and last year had the shoulder injury but I wasn’t about to write him off. There were reports he wasn’t happy about the move to 3rd base but all signs so far show he’s at least going to put on a happy face and try it out. I wanted to build some balance in the draft and while I am not banking on a return to 2009 levels I am pretty certain he’ll be near 2010 with two position eligibility to boot. At age 28 he could easily return to fantasy stud status as well.
Fearless Forecast: 300avg 102r 19hr 84rbi 30sb 62bb
10. Elvis Andrus: SS – North Texas Rangers
The 3rd of 4 projected shortstops to go in the first round, Adrian got his first of many Rangers in this draft also. I’m not sure exactly what he gained moving out of the first then back into it but I wrote in my mock that this was the guy he wanted. Now on one hand I was sold by Berg on the Andrus vs. Reyes argument however I am not sure about him being a 1st round talent. Don’t get me wrong there’s a lot to like here but he will have to develop some pop to earn this selection.
Fearless Forecast: 275avg 102r 6hr 52rbi 39sb 58bb
11. Jose Reyes: SS – Dallas Redbirds
Dallas got their power with Teixeira so they went back to their basic style with a high average, runs, sb player and took Reyes here. Don’t want to be redundant so see Andrus above. If he can stay healthy he’ll definitely benefit from the move to Miami from the Mets with bats like Hanley Ramirez and Mike Stanton hitting behind him. Although he’s only 28 it seems like he’s 36 as long as he’s been around so health will be key here. I think in hindsight here, if I were in his shoes I would have taken Jay Bruce.
Fearless Forecast: 297avg 112r 8hr 49rbi 38sb 42bb
12. Hunter Pence: OF – Michigan Miracles
Before the winter meetings I had initially pegged Pence for a possibility at pick 2.2 but his stock rose (justifiably) as the winter meetings and pre-draft progressed. Pence is the type of player that doesn’t get much praise because he just goes about his business quietly. The move out of Houston to Philadelphia revived him last season and should set him up for a career year in 2012. Even if he puts up numbers somewhere between 2010-2011 he’ll help across the board with the exception of BBs. I love this pick for Michigan. Bruce may be the better power option but the consistency of Pence speaks worlds of his value to a fantasy team.
Fearless Forecast: 288avg 95r 26hr 101rbi 12sb 58bb
13. Jay Bruce: OF – Mid-Michigan Tigers
Not sure which outfielder they would have selected here but I believe the Tigers moving down in the draft ultimately cost them Pence. As it stands the team gets a young power hitter which are hard to come by these days and it appears this team is on a multi-year rebuild plan after a few of their contracts didn’t pan out last season. The Tigers are being predicted to be a lottery team by some early power rankings so Bruce may end up being Miggy’s “Robin” for more than just 2012. If there is a big breakout season in his future it should come during the duration of his stay with the Tigers, but he may just be a younger version of Adam Dunn (pre Appendectomy that is)
Fearless Forecast: 253avg 88r 39hr 107rbi 7sb 66bb
14. Desmond Jennings: OF – Rochester Red Sox
There was a reason no one could predict who Rich would take with his first round selection, it was because he took a 2nd round player. I won’t argue the fact that this was the only chance he would get to take Jennings but I think he would have been better served to move into the 2nd round and take him there. Regardless he is going to be an elite SB threat this year and will definitely score plenty of runs. I don’t buy him having quite the power he showed briefly last season but his speed will keep his batting average reasonable. He will eventually earn this selection, but I really don’t think it’ll be until 2013 at the earliest.
Fearless Forecast: 277avg 92r 9hr 49rbi 45sb 62bb
15. Nelson Cruz: OF – North Texas Rangers
Adrian’s Homer-ness is epic. This selection was a surprise to nobody except for those who thought that this pick would be Josh Hamilton. One has to wonder how bad his team would be had he been born in Washington and grown into a Mariner fan. Needless to say Cruz was a nice selection here and should post higher end numbers as long as he’s on the field. He’ll likely end up on the DL at some point but as long as he’s healthy when the Rangers need him this will prove to be a nice pick.
Fearless Forecast: 288avg 82r 34hr 97rbi 8sb 35bb
16. Cliff Lee: SP – Arizona Desert Swarm
I’m sure the Swarm were set to sit back and watch the first round and take the best player available once his turn rolled around. As it turns out the best player available was the best SP in the draft and one of the top few in the league. What’s there to say about this pick other than its pure Gold? He may have been hoping one of the bigger hitters would slip here but at the very least he has excellent trade bait for those needing SP.
Fearless Forecast: 19w 212k 2.89era 1.04whip
ROUND TWO: “Do Not Fear Mistakes. You Will Know Failure. Continue To Reach Out.” - -Benjamin Franklin
1. Eric Hosmer: 1b – Hackensack Bulls
After passing on Adrian Gonzalez in the first round they take the young Royal here in the 2nd. Jennings and Hosmer have started the youth movement of this draft. There were plenty of young stars to choose from although they all seemed to be taken earlier than expected. Hosmer had a real nice rookie season and looks to build upon that for the next few seasons as a Bull. Short term however he looks like a left handed Billy Butler; nice average, decent pop, decent rbi. On the plus side of things he should be among the leaders at 1b in stolen bases.
Fearless Forecast: 291avg 72r 21hr 89rbi 13sb 44bb
2. Adrian Beltre: 3b – Charlotte Orios
Beltre slipped in the draft and was snagged up here by the Orios. Apparently his age and some of his history of nicks and bruises played a part in him falling to the 2nd round but I don’t think you can go wrong with a 2 year on the guy with the numbers he has put up after finally getting out of Seattle. He has since been shipped off to North Texas in a questionable trade for the Orios. As far as value goes this was one of the better steals of the draft in my opinion. 3b has turned into the thinnest position in fantasy baseball and there were only a few reliable options in the draft to begin with.
Fearless Forecast: 301avg 80r 31hr 100rbi 2 sb 23bb
3. Josh Hamilton: OF – San Antonio Fire Ants
Had they not traded out of the first round there was a chance the Ants would have taken Hamilton there as well so the deal with Michigan turned out quite nice for them. I know Hamilton had his relapse at a Texas bar and I hope it doesn’t affect his play on the field this season. I think this should be another steal of a selection in the 2nd round as long as he doesn’t miss too much time due to injury. Last year’s time off was fluky after trying to tag from third on a foul pop out. Given his history I think he’ll rebound from his troubles and put up another highly productive season, and for personal reasons I will be rooting for him.
Fearless Forecast: 312avg 83r 28hr 104rbi 8sb 37bb
4. Chris Young: OF – South Texas Heat
This selection was one of the surprises of the 2nd round but as Berg explained later; “I wanted to draft Young at 2.15 but didn’t want to gamble that he would still be there”. I can see the logic of that considering Young’s ability across the board to help everything but batting average. He averages about 90-20-80-25-75 over the past two seasons, but if you dig deeper you have to wonder how many weeks he put up very little due to a 1-19 slump. If he can avoid those he’ll be worth the selection here, especially if he’s on a hot streak once the playoffs begin.
Fearless Forecast: 241avg 92r 23hr 79rbi 23sb 76bb
5. Alex Gordon: OF – Julian Javelina
Outfielders were going fast and the teams up top of the 2nd round were feeling the pressure to take them before they wanted to. Gordon finally lived up to the hype last year but will have to prove to fantasy owners (Jamie especially) that it was for real. The average is bound to fall as he was a little lucky last year but the rest of his stat line reads out very well. His RBI output will increase this year if he’s not slotted in the leadoff spot like he was quite often last year but the downtick in at bats may level out the numbers regardless.
Fearless Forecast: 281avg 87r 24hr 94rbi 15sb 65bb
6. Brett Lawrie: 3b – Springfield Squirrels of Republic
One of the more hyped players in recent memory its no surprise Lawrie was drafted this high. The Bulls were actually considering him at 2.1 but took Hosmer instead. Given the lack of talent at 3b this pick isn’t as much of a reach as it could be. I think over the course of his contract he’ll provide the Squirrels with 5 category production but don’t think he’ll be the stud that people predict for another year or two. He should benefit from his lineup and playing half his games at Rogers Centre though, I just wouldn’t go coining him David Wright Jr. just yet.
Fearless Forecast: 281avg 85r 17hr 76rbi 22sb 44bb
7. Brian McCann: C – Mid Michigan Tigers
McCann was selected over Napoli and with good reason based on track record. There isn’t a more consistent catcher option out there and the Tigers weren’t in a position to gamble having traded away some picks for Kendrick. This started a minor catcher run that affected the 3rd round and was about the time I suspected the top 2 options would go……
Fearless Forecast: 268avg 57r 25hr 82rbi 2sb 58bb
8. Joe Mauer: C – Charlotte Orios
…..I just never expected the second option to be Joe Mauer. Granted I do think he’ll bounce back from last years lost season I just believe the Orios are putting too much faith in the gamble. After a steal of a pick in Beltre this set the Orios back quite a bit, passing on players with more production for the chance that Mauer sniffs a whole lot of that 2009 glue.
Fearless Forecast: 303avg 68r 9hr 71rbi 5sb 61bb
9. Cole Hamels: SP – Oviedo Knights
Most had him projected as the 2nd best SP in the draft but not many would have believed he would slip this far into the second round. The Knights were not about to pass on the chance of drafting an ace starter at this point and would have been crazy had they done so. He’s in the upper echelon of SP and was one of the biggest steals of the draft. The theme of this draft was two fold; 1. Hitters went early and often and 2. Youngsters were in high demand. Mike took advantage with this selection
Fearless Forecast: 18w 195k 3.25era 1.15whip
10. Mike Napoli: C – You Guessed It North Texas Rangers
Again he takes a Ranger and again it’s a good pick. Napoli slipped further than I expected he would and Adrian was pissing his pants in worry that the Tigers, Orios, and Knights would foil his plans of taking every Ranger available in the draft. He got his man here in hopes he continues to get the at bats he received last year. I don’t know if you can expect Napoli to come within 40 points of that batting average again but given 450 abs 30 hrs is definitely not out of the question.
Fearless Forecast: 275avg 67r 27hr 82rbi 3sb 47bb
11. Rickie Weeks: 2b – Gaylord Dingers
Gaylord’s first pick of the draft ended up being the top 2b aside from Cano. I’m one of the few people in the league who wasn’t going to consider drafting Weeks so my opinion is a slice of bias. He’s had one season of full health out of half a dozen years and even with his potential I think the risk factor is way too high for this round, considering the talent that was still on the board. That being said he was among the few second basemen left with much of a track record at all and the Dingers were willing to accept the risk involved with taking Weeks.
Fearless Forecast: 264avg 73r 18hr 51rbi 8sb 51bb
12. Pablo Sandoval: 3b – San Antonio Fire Ants
Assuming his weight isn’t an issue again, this should be a fine selection for the Ants. Given health and weight he has a chance to be one of the top tier 3b in the league (which ultimately isn’t saying a lot but its something) He missed some time last year yet was still in line for the same type of season as 2009. The problem is it appears he came to camp fat as hell again and even though he claims its muscle most around the organization have their doubts. It is something to keep an eye on this spring for sure.
Fearless Forecast: 310avg 66r 22hr 87rbi 2sb 35bb
13. Matt Wieters: C – Gaylord Dingers
After not being impressed with the Weeks pick, Wagner turns around and totally redeems himself with this one. It may have been a “TAD” early but not by much. I was targeting him with my 3.2 pick and I think it was a possibility until the C run started earlier this round. At age 25 he’s starting to come into his own and already put together a season last year that rivals McCann. I believe he’ll only get better over the next couple of seasons and will be one of the top catchers, if not THE top catcher in fantasy baseball starting this year.
Fearless Forecast: 275avg 75r 26hr 81rbi 0sb 46bb
14. Josh Johnson: SP – Rochester Red Sox
Showing everyone that they’re willing to take a risk, the Red Sox follow up their Jennings pick with Josh Johnson. This is another SP that is a stud when healthy but hasn’t been able to stay that way much in his career. If the stars align and he toes the rubber 30 times this will turn out to be a steal at this point of the 2nd round. However, right now it’s no more than a calculated risk that only a team with some returning stars like Rochester could take.
Fearless Forecast: 10 165k 2.80era 1.18whip (170IP)
15. Alex Rodriguez: 3b – South Texas Heat
Age and injury concerns allowed ARod to fall this far down, but the Heat weren’t concerned enough to let him pass. I don’t blame him. I think you may see a more motivated Rodriguez in 2012 after a few lacking seasons (for him). Given the fact that his girlfriend Torrie Wilson is in better shape than he is, you might see a chip on his shoulder for once. I’m fairly optimistic about this selection but am glad I am not the one taking the risk. I can’t think of anything else to say because for some reason I just can’t stop thinking about a Playboy I once read…..
Fearless Forecast: 282avg 86r 28hr 102rbi 6sb 55bb
16. Adam Jones: OF – Arizona Desert Swarm
Another round for the Swarm to watch and see what would fall. This time they grabbed probably the last solid OF option on the board in Adam Jones. Aside from swinging at everything Jones should prove to solidify the Swarm offense. He doesn’t steal much, doesn’t score a lot due to his lineup but he has improved his production and is a perennial 280 hitter. Considering the next two OFs taken in the draft were Bourjos and Quentin, I believe the Swarm could have done much worse here than Jones.
Fearless Forecast: 286avg 73r 24hr 81rbi 14sb 28bb
**Note: I would like to do about 10 rounds worth of this, and keep in mind this is 100% my opinion and the projections made have come purely from my noggin. I hope its at least an enjoyable read because I am having fun doing this.**
ROUND ONE: (In the world of Fantasy Baseball, hitting is King)
1. Jose Bautista: 3b/OF – Olivet Killer Eagles
Even before the lottery determined the top 3 picks I knew I would have my choice of Bautista or Cano, figuring the top two picks would be Tulowitski and Gonzalez regardless of order. As it turns out I got the #1 pick and was set to take Cano until I was able to receive another 1st round pick. At that point I figured I would take best player available, contract length notwithstanding. Jose Bautista was tops on my board.
Fearless Forecast: 280avg 102r 37hr 110rbi 7sb 105bb
2. Mike Stanton: OF – Hackensack Bulls
I still consider Justin Upton to be the better overall player over the next five years but the Bulls make some valid points regarding Stanton. Over the next 5 seasons he has a good chance of being one of the top HR hitters in the league alongside guys like Fielder, Pujols, and possibly Bautista. Power is king these days and it was too much for the Bulls to pass on.
Fearless Forecast: 275avg 91r 36hr 102rbi 1sb 81bb
3. Troy Tulowitzki: SS – South Texas Heat
The Heat traded Prince Fielder to move into a spot to take Tulowitzki and place a 5 year on him. Tulowitzki’s ceiling is enormous but has to get over the little injuries that he seems to fight through every year. Honestly if he didn’t have that one little question mark he would have been taken first overall. As it stands the Heat get probably the best talent in the draft at a position that is historically slim with talent (I would argue otherwise this year)
Fearless Forecast: 311avg 96r 29hr 100rbi 13sb 76bb
4. Justin Upton: OF – Atlantic Surge
The Surge had plenty to choose from at this spot but went with the guy many had him taking in the pre-draft mocks. The temptation of taking Gonzalez may have been there but he went with the man with the most upside and will never look back. At age 24 he hasn’t even begun to hit his peak years. That is scary considering the numbers he has put up already. Another season or two and he’ll be the top OF with Kemp in fantasy in my opinion. For now I’ll say he takes another step forward in 2012.
Fearless Forecast: 296avg 112r 34hr 107rbi 23sb 65bb
5. Adrian Gonzalez: 1b – Julian Javelina
Jamie was probably doing cartwheels as the top few picks unfolded in front of him and has said that he was “shocked” that Adrian Gonzalez was still sitting there at #5. As far as safe bets go, he and Cano were the two safest players in the draft. At age 29 Gonzalez should see 3-4 years of top flight production for Julian and is no worse than the 2nd or 3rd best 1b in the league with the possibility of being tops if he can turn some of those doubles into homers this season.
Fearless Forecast: 309avg 104r 33hr 124rbi 1sb 79bb
6. Robinson Cano: 2b – Springfield Flying Squirrels of Republic
In a mock done just a few days before the draft started Adam claimed he would not pass on Robinson Cano if available even having Uggla on the roster. “Dan Uggla will make a fine Utility man” was the statement. The Squirrels didn’t go back on their word and selected Cano at 6. The team will be rewarded with one of the most productive players year to year for the length of time he’s a Squirrel. The knock on him was his lack of SB and BB but other than that I don’t see anyone else other than Gonzalez in this draft being as safe of a pick.
Fearless Forecast: 301avg 112r 28hr 110rbi 6sb 38bb
7. Andrew McCutchen: OF – Oviedo Knights
The Knights wanted Robinson Cano here and figured Springfield would take McCutchen over him having Uggla locked into 2nd base. Life didn’t happen that way so they drafted the man most mocks had him taking here. Like Reynolds said; “A rare 6 tool OF”, McCutchen is very close if he can rebound to his previous batting average levels. He’s the type of player the Knights have been successful with over the years and will be the face of the organization moving forward. I know his favorite word is “value” but there is tons of value in a player that will not hinder any category.
Fearless Forecast: 283avg 98r 26hr 90rbi 27sb 82bb
8. Mark Teixeira: 1b – Dallas Redbirds
The Redbirds admittedly moved up into round one to take Tex here, and they got their man. Many worry about his drop in batting average over the last few years but it’s not what you’re paying for with this guy. Having lost Ryan Howard to free agency this was a logical choice for Dallas.
Fearless Forecast: 261avg 99r 37hr 111rbi 0sb 82bb
9. Hanley Ramirez: SS(3b) – Olivet Killer Eagles
He has had his issues with being lazy and last year had the shoulder injury but I wasn’t about to write him off. There were reports he wasn’t happy about the move to 3rd base but all signs so far show he’s at least going to put on a happy face and try it out. I wanted to build some balance in the draft and while I am not banking on a return to 2009 levels I am pretty certain he’ll be near 2010 with two position eligibility to boot. At age 28 he could easily return to fantasy stud status as well.
Fearless Forecast: 300avg 102r 19hr 84rbi 30sb 62bb
10. Elvis Andrus: SS – North Texas Rangers
The 3rd of 4 projected shortstops to go in the first round, Adrian got his first of many Rangers in this draft also. I’m not sure exactly what he gained moving out of the first then back into it but I wrote in my mock that this was the guy he wanted. Now on one hand I was sold by Berg on the Andrus vs. Reyes argument however I am not sure about him being a 1st round talent. Don’t get me wrong there’s a lot to like here but he will have to develop some pop to earn this selection.
Fearless Forecast: 275avg 102r 6hr 52rbi 39sb 58bb
11. Jose Reyes: SS – Dallas Redbirds
Dallas got their power with Teixeira so they went back to their basic style with a high average, runs, sb player and took Reyes here. Don’t want to be redundant so see Andrus above. If he can stay healthy he’ll definitely benefit from the move to Miami from the Mets with bats like Hanley Ramirez and Mike Stanton hitting behind him. Although he’s only 28 it seems like he’s 36 as long as he’s been around so health will be key here. I think in hindsight here, if I were in his shoes I would have taken Jay Bruce.
Fearless Forecast: 297avg 112r 8hr 49rbi 38sb 42bb
12. Hunter Pence: OF – Michigan Miracles
Before the winter meetings I had initially pegged Pence for a possibility at pick 2.2 but his stock rose (justifiably) as the winter meetings and pre-draft progressed. Pence is the type of player that doesn’t get much praise because he just goes about his business quietly. The move out of Houston to Philadelphia revived him last season and should set him up for a career year in 2012. Even if he puts up numbers somewhere between 2010-2011 he’ll help across the board with the exception of BBs. I love this pick for Michigan. Bruce may be the better power option but the consistency of Pence speaks worlds of his value to a fantasy team.
Fearless Forecast: 288avg 95r 26hr 101rbi 12sb 58bb
13. Jay Bruce: OF – Mid-Michigan Tigers
Not sure which outfielder they would have selected here but I believe the Tigers moving down in the draft ultimately cost them Pence. As it stands the team gets a young power hitter which are hard to come by these days and it appears this team is on a multi-year rebuild plan after a few of their contracts didn’t pan out last season. The Tigers are being predicted to be a lottery team by some early power rankings so Bruce may end up being Miggy’s “Robin” for more than just 2012. If there is a big breakout season in his future it should come during the duration of his stay with the Tigers, but he may just be a younger version of Adam Dunn (pre Appendectomy that is)
Fearless Forecast: 253avg 88r 39hr 107rbi 7sb 66bb
14. Desmond Jennings: OF – Rochester Red Sox
There was a reason no one could predict who Rich would take with his first round selection, it was because he took a 2nd round player. I won’t argue the fact that this was the only chance he would get to take Jennings but I think he would have been better served to move into the 2nd round and take him there. Regardless he is going to be an elite SB threat this year and will definitely score plenty of runs. I don’t buy him having quite the power he showed briefly last season but his speed will keep his batting average reasonable. He will eventually earn this selection, but I really don’t think it’ll be until 2013 at the earliest.
Fearless Forecast: 277avg 92r 9hr 49rbi 45sb 62bb
15. Nelson Cruz: OF – North Texas Rangers
Adrian’s Homer-ness is epic. This selection was a surprise to nobody except for those who thought that this pick would be Josh Hamilton. One has to wonder how bad his team would be had he been born in Washington and grown into a Mariner fan. Needless to say Cruz was a nice selection here and should post higher end numbers as long as he’s on the field. He’ll likely end up on the DL at some point but as long as he’s healthy when the Rangers need him this will prove to be a nice pick.
Fearless Forecast: 288avg 82r 34hr 97rbi 8sb 35bb
16. Cliff Lee: SP – Arizona Desert Swarm
I’m sure the Swarm were set to sit back and watch the first round and take the best player available once his turn rolled around. As it turns out the best player available was the best SP in the draft and one of the top few in the league. What’s there to say about this pick other than its pure Gold? He may have been hoping one of the bigger hitters would slip here but at the very least he has excellent trade bait for those needing SP.
Fearless Forecast: 19w 212k 2.89era 1.04whip
ROUND TWO: “Do Not Fear Mistakes. You Will Know Failure. Continue To Reach Out.” - -Benjamin Franklin
1. Eric Hosmer: 1b – Hackensack Bulls
After passing on Adrian Gonzalez in the first round they take the young Royal here in the 2nd. Jennings and Hosmer have started the youth movement of this draft. There were plenty of young stars to choose from although they all seemed to be taken earlier than expected. Hosmer had a real nice rookie season and looks to build upon that for the next few seasons as a Bull. Short term however he looks like a left handed Billy Butler; nice average, decent pop, decent rbi. On the plus side of things he should be among the leaders at 1b in stolen bases.
Fearless Forecast: 291avg 72r 21hr 89rbi 13sb 44bb
2. Adrian Beltre: 3b – Charlotte Orios
Beltre slipped in the draft and was snagged up here by the Orios. Apparently his age and some of his history of nicks and bruises played a part in him falling to the 2nd round but I don’t think you can go wrong with a 2 year on the guy with the numbers he has put up after finally getting out of Seattle. He has since been shipped off to North Texas in a questionable trade for the Orios. As far as value goes this was one of the better steals of the draft in my opinion. 3b has turned into the thinnest position in fantasy baseball and there were only a few reliable options in the draft to begin with.
Fearless Forecast: 301avg 80r 31hr 100rbi 2 sb 23bb
3. Josh Hamilton: OF – San Antonio Fire Ants
Had they not traded out of the first round there was a chance the Ants would have taken Hamilton there as well so the deal with Michigan turned out quite nice for them. I know Hamilton had his relapse at a Texas bar and I hope it doesn’t affect his play on the field this season. I think this should be another steal of a selection in the 2nd round as long as he doesn’t miss too much time due to injury. Last year’s time off was fluky after trying to tag from third on a foul pop out. Given his history I think he’ll rebound from his troubles and put up another highly productive season, and for personal reasons I will be rooting for him.
Fearless Forecast: 312avg 83r 28hr 104rbi 8sb 37bb
4. Chris Young: OF – South Texas Heat
This selection was one of the surprises of the 2nd round but as Berg explained later; “I wanted to draft Young at 2.15 but didn’t want to gamble that he would still be there”. I can see the logic of that considering Young’s ability across the board to help everything but batting average. He averages about 90-20-80-25-75 over the past two seasons, but if you dig deeper you have to wonder how many weeks he put up very little due to a 1-19 slump. If he can avoid those he’ll be worth the selection here, especially if he’s on a hot streak once the playoffs begin.
Fearless Forecast: 241avg 92r 23hr 79rbi 23sb 76bb
5. Alex Gordon: OF – Julian Javelina
Outfielders were going fast and the teams up top of the 2nd round were feeling the pressure to take them before they wanted to. Gordon finally lived up to the hype last year but will have to prove to fantasy owners (Jamie especially) that it was for real. The average is bound to fall as he was a little lucky last year but the rest of his stat line reads out very well. His RBI output will increase this year if he’s not slotted in the leadoff spot like he was quite often last year but the downtick in at bats may level out the numbers regardless.
Fearless Forecast: 281avg 87r 24hr 94rbi 15sb 65bb
6. Brett Lawrie: 3b – Springfield Squirrels of Republic
One of the more hyped players in recent memory its no surprise Lawrie was drafted this high. The Bulls were actually considering him at 2.1 but took Hosmer instead. Given the lack of talent at 3b this pick isn’t as much of a reach as it could be. I think over the course of his contract he’ll provide the Squirrels with 5 category production but don’t think he’ll be the stud that people predict for another year or two. He should benefit from his lineup and playing half his games at Rogers Centre though, I just wouldn’t go coining him David Wright Jr. just yet.
Fearless Forecast: 281avg 85r 17hr 76rbi 22sb 44bb
7. Brian McCann: C – Mid Michigan Tigers
McCann was selected over Napoli and with good reason based on track record. There isn’t a more consistent catcher option out there and the Tigers weren’t in a position to gamble having traded away some picks for Kendrick. This started a minor catcher run that affected the 3rd round and was about the time I suspected the top 2 options would go……
Fearless Forecast: 268avg 57r 25hr 82rbi 2sb 58bb
8. Joe Mauer: C – Charlotte Orios
…..I just never expected the second option to be Joe Mauer. Granted I do think he’ll bounce back from last years lost season I just believe the Orios are putting too much faith in the gamble. After a steal of a pick in Beltre this set the Orios back quite a bit, passing on players with more production for the chance that Mauer sniffs a whole lot of that 2009 glue.
Fearless Forecast: 303avg 68r 9hr 71rbi 5sb 61bb
9. Cole Hamels: SP – Oviedo Knights
Most had him projected as the 2nd best SP in the draft but not many would have believed he would slip this far into the second round. The Knights were not about to pass on the chance of drafting an ace starter at this point and would have been crazy had they done so. He’s in the upper echelon of SP and was one of the biggest steals of the draft. The theme of this draft was two fold; 1. Hitters went early and often and 2. Youngsters were in high demand. Mike took advantage with this selection
Fearless Forecast: 18w 195k 3.25era 1.15whip
10. Mike Napoli: C – You Guessed It North Texas Rangers
Again he takes a Ranger and again it’s a good pick. Napoli slipped further than I expected he would and Adrian was pissing his pants in worry that the Tigers, Orios, and Knights would foil his plans of taking every Ranger available in the draft. He got his man here in hopes he continues to get the at bats he received last year. I don’t know if you can expect Napoli to come within 40 points of that batting average again but given 450 abs 30 hrs is definitely not out of the question.
Fearless Forecast: 275avg 67r 27hr 82rbi 3sb 47bb
11. Rickie Weeks: 2b – Gaylord Dingers
Gaylord’s first pick of the draft ended up being the top 2b aside from Cano. I’m one of the few people in the league who wasn’t going to consider drafting Weeks so my opinion is a slice of bias. He’s had one season of full health out of half a dozen years and even with his potential I think the risk factor is way too high for this round, considering the talent that was still on the board. That being said he was among the few second basemen left with much of a track record at all and the Dingers were willing to accept the risk involved with taking Weeks.
Fearless Forecast: 264avg 73r 18hr 51rbi 8sb 51bb
12. Pablo Sandoval: 3b – San Antonio Fire Ants
Assuming his weight isn’t an issue again, this should be a fine selection for the Ants. Given health and weight he has a chance to be one of the top tier 3b in the league (which ultimately isn’t saying a lot but its something) He missed some time last year yet was still in line for the same type of season as 2009. The problem is it appears he came to camp fat as hell again and even though he claims its muscle most around the organization have their doubts. It is something to keep an eye on this spring for sure.
Fearless Forecast: 310avg 66r 22hr 87rbi 2sb 35bb
13. Matt Wieters: C – Gaylord Dingers
After not being impressed with the Weeks pick, Wagner turns around and totally redeems himself with this one. It may have been a “TAD” early but not by much. I was targeting him with my 3.2 pick and I think it was a possibility until the C run started earlier this round. At age 25 he’s starting to come into his own and already put together a season last year that rivals McCann. I believe he’ll only get better over the next couple of seasons and will be one of the top catchers, if not THE top catcher in fantasy baseball starting this year.
Fearless Forecast: 275avg 75r 26hr 81rbi 0sb 46bb
14. Josh Johnson: SP – Rochester Red Sox
Showing everyone that they’re willing to take a risk, the Red Sox follow up their Jennings pick with Josh Johnson. This is another SP that is a stud when healthy but hasn’t been able to stay that way much in his career. If the stars align and he toes the rubber 30 times this will turn out to be a steal at this point of the 2nd round. However, right now it’s no more than a calculated risk that only a team with some returning stars like Rochester could take.
Fearless Forecast: 10 165k 2.80era 1.18whip (170IP)
15. Alex Rodriguez: 3b – South Texas Heat
Age and injury concerns allowed ARod to fall this far down, but the Heat weren’t concerned enough to let him pass. I don’t blame him. I think you may see a more motivated Rodriguez in 2012 after a few lacking seasons (for him). Given the fact that his girlfriend Torrie Wilson is in better shape than he is, you might see a chip on his shoulder for once. I’m fairly optimistic about this selection but am glad I am not the one taking the risk. I can’t think of anything else to say because for some reason I just can’t stop thinking about a Playboy I once read…..
Fearless Forecast: 282avg 86r 28hr 102rbi 6sb 55bb
16. Adam Jones: OF – Arizona Desert Swarm
Another round for the Swarm to watch and see what would fall. This time they grabbed probably the last solid OF option on the board in Adam Jones. Aside from swinging at everything Jones should prove to solidify the Swarm offense. He doesn’t steal much, doesn’t score a lot due to his lineup but he has improved his production and is a perennial 280 hitter. Considering the next two OFs taken in the draft were Bourjos and Quentin, I believe the Swarm could have done much worse here than Jones.
Fearless Forecast: 286avg 73r 24hr 81rbi 14sb 28bb
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